Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Pudsey

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Paul D. Truswell
Conservative Party:
John Procter
Liberal Democratic Party:
Stephen Boddy

Incumbent:
Paul Truswell

97 Result:
Paul Truswell
25,37048.1%
Peter Bone
19,16336.3%
Jonathan Brown
7,37514.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,73174.35%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
16,69529.1%
25,06743.7%
15,15326.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
57,38179.6%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.0%
16-2412.0%
25-3921.8%
40-6528.4%
65 <18.8%

Ethnic Origin:
White97.9%
Black0.3%
Indian/Pakistani1.3%
Other non-white0.5%

Employment:
Full Time65.6%
Part Time17.3%
Self Employed10.9%
Government Schemes0.7%
Unemployed5.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.4%
II - Managerial/Technical34.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.3%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)27.8%
IV - Partly Skilled11.1%
V - Unskilled3.6%

Misc:
Own Residence75.8%
Rent Residence23.2%
Own Car(s)70.0%
Submissions
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08/05/01 Disraeli Email:
Tactical voting and Tory absentions appeared to hit this constituency hard in 1997; not only did the turnout drop by about 5,000 [Tory voters staying at home?] but tactical voting seemed to have influenced the result here in 1997 with the Liberal Democrat share of the vote dropping substantially. If the Tories have a good campaign here there's the chance they could retake the seat, though it depends on whether tactical voting occurs again. If not then it should not be too difficult, if so then the Tories run the very serious risk of failing to take the seat.
05/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Trends suggest that the Tories run the very serious risk of failing to take the seat. Pudsey's the Leeds/Bradford version of London's Metroland Labour seats.

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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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