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Constituency Profile
Candidates:
(Links? See sponsorship details.)
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Democratic Reform BC Janice Marie Money |
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NDP Joyce Procure |
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Green Party Angela Reid |
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BC Liberal Rick Thorpe |
Incumbent: |
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BC Liberals: THORPE, Hon. Rick |
Surrounding Ridings:
Kelowna-Lake Country
Kelowna-Mission
Okanagan-Vernon
Penticton-Okanagan Valley
Yale-Lillooet
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12 05 05 |
Vortigern |
The advantage is with the Liberal incumbent, largely for historical reasons. I would expect Procure to do well in the Summerland area, where the hospital situation plays right into her hands. The north end of the constituency is a different story, where growth has ameliorated the effects of Liberal cuts. Besides which, this is the area that will be most pleased by work on the Okanagan Lake Bridge - despite the fact that it would have been built irrespective of who was in power in Victoria. Still, I wouldn't be surprised if the Liberals failed to crack 50%. |
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26 02 05 |
M. Lunn |
With a large older and wealthy population, I cannot see the Liberals losing this one. It may not be a safe as the two Kelowna ridings, but the changing demographics definitely favours the Liberals, so Rick Thorpe should have no trouble getting re-elected. The NDP's best chance in the Okanagan Valley is Penticton-Okanagan Valley, although with the 2001 change in boundaries I really cannot see them picking up that one either. Maybe had they kept the 1996 boundaries, then the NDP would have a chance since they won in 1991 and almost won it in 1996. |
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24 02 05 |
M. Lunn |
Although much of this riding went NDP in 1991 and federally in 1988, the demographics have changed considerably since then. With a large wealthy senior population, this will make it very difficult for any party left of centre to win. Rick Thorpe will be going back to Victoria come May 17th |
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24 02 05 |
Ken |
Federally, this is part of Stockwell Day country. It definitely won't be going NDP anytime soon but the NDP will do better than before. Still, a fairly easy win for the Liberals. |
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