Update/Mise à jour:
2:54 PM 26/12/2005

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
11:29 PM 05/05/2005
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Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington
Federal Election - 2006 - élection générale



Constituency Profile
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Candidates/candidats:
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Canadian Action
Jerry Ackerman
Progressive Canadian
Jeffrey Bogaerts
NDP/NPD
Helen Forsey
Green/Vert
Mike Nickerson
Marijuana
Ernest Rathwell
Conservative/conservateur
Scott Reid
Libearl/libéral
Geoff Turner

Incumbent/Député:
Scott Reid

2004 Result/Résultats:
Scott Jeffrey Reid
27566
Larry McCormick
17507
Ross Sutherland
7418
John Baranyi
2736
IND
Bill Vankoughnet
820
George Walter Kolaczynski
479

For historical result, please see
2004 Prediction page




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26 12 05 A.S.
The *other* Scott Reid, also prone to party-sabotaging loose lips (albeit about official bilingualism rather than beer'n'popcorn). But even if he damaged his party's chances in '04, he certainly didn't damage his own; within his inherited "Lanark" part of LFL&A, he got nearly 2/3 of the vote and over 3 times the Liberals', even with the latter's "incumbent advantage"! Nowhere else in Ontario outside the inner GTA was support for any one party so solid; it almost doesn't matter that Reid's opponent won his own home-turf Battle of Lennox. You want an ominous harbinger of what "might" happen in OnToryo; there you have it...
16 10 05 MF
Almost definitely Tory. The PC-Alliance merger wasn't as successful as its proponents had hoped, but nowhere did it succeed more than it did in Eastern Ontario, the most conservative region of the province. Some critics of the merger said a united right would be too scary for supposedly moderate Ontario voters. But not in Eastern Ontario. While the image of the patrician socially liberal PC voter was somewhat true in the GTA, it's certainly not the case in Eastern Ontario.
10 05 05 Nick Boragina
Reid won here running for the Alliance in 2000. Do I really need to say more? This riding is right-wing, one of the top three in ontario for sure, if he wins with less then a majority, I will be very surprised.
04 05 05 Craig
No contest here. A staunchly conservative riding, Scott Reid defeated an incumbent Liberal MP (Larry McCormick) by over 10,000 votes. With no Liberal incumbent to deal with, that margin should increase substantially. He is just what this riding is looking for - a strong social and fiscal conservative and listening to the local interests. Predicted results: CPC 58%, LIB 24%, NDP 12%, GRN 5%, others 1%.
03 05 05 RWA
Peter MacKay might not like Scott Reid, but his voters do.
01 05 05 Miles Lunn
Despite the fact Scott Reid is somewhat of trouble maker in the Conservatives for his comments on Bilingualism or trying to move back to the one member one vote at the Conservative convention, this was the Conservatives' fourth best showing in Ontario last election and they won by 18 points. Since they are polling at or above levels of last election, Scott Reid will be going back to Ottawa. Considering he is part of Harper's inner circle, he will almost certainly get a cabinet post should the Conservatives win.



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