Prediction Changed
3:47 PM 07/04/2007

Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Saskatoon-Humboldt
Federal Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Green
Ducasse, Jean-Pierre
Liberal
Parhar, Karen
New Democratic
Ruston, Scott
Conservative
Trost, Brad

Incumbent:
Brad Trost

2006 Result:
Brad Trost **
18285
Andrew Mason
10975
Peter Stroh
6281
Mike E. Jones
1382
Tim Nyborg
342

Previous Prediction/result
06 Prediction/04 Result
04 Prediction/00 Result




Put your political/campaign ad here! See sponsorship details.

08 02 26 A.S.
99.233.96.153
Mind the fact that, provincially speaking, Sask-Humboldt contains the present-day heart of ‘Sask Party’ Saskatoon. Though it's funny to think that in spite of Trost's most recent 20-point landslide margin, what the NDP still managed to get in '06 would have been enough to win in '04's electoral multi-car pileup...
07 09 25 Christopher
70.64.2.19
He got lucky with a close 4-way race in 2004, but now even with a reduced Conservative vote Brad Trost would likely walk away with this one.
07 06 26 SaskPhoenix
198.169.112.254
I am not going to make a prediction as of now, but with the way things are looking for the Saskatchewan Conservative MPs over the broken equalization promises, their re-election chances have become weaker. If Premier Calvert and public opinion continue against the Tories, the urban Tory MPS could be turfed out by angry voters on election day.
07 04 10 M. Lunn
74.99.130.109
Brad Trost should have little trouble winning here since the only reason it was close in 2004 was because Jim Pankiw was running as an independent and the fact have two arch right wingers running and still result in a Conservative victory pretty much says they have a lock on this one. Even Saskatoon, which is less conservative than the rural areas, Brad Trost still won, although by a much smaller margin.
07 04 05 Elessar
216.197.221.17
Brad is now a two-time incumbent in a strong Conservative riding. In the previous election, his lead grew from 417 votes to 7310 votes. The strong showing of the Conservatives in polls can do nothing but help.



Submit Information here

Provincial Index
Federal Election - 2007
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Milton Chan, 1999-2007 - Email Webmaster