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Profil de circonscription
candidats:
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Domm, Richard | |
Fredette, Tanya | |
Gourde, Gaston | |
Gourde, Jacques | |
Larouche, Nicole |
Député: |
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Jacques Gourde |
prévision historiques
2008 prévision
2006 prévision
2004 prévision
2000 prévision
Référence:
Pundits’ Guide
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| 11 04 29 |
Oliver May 173.176.6.20 |
I think the Orange wave from Quebec City will reach this far. I have been in this riding once a week since the writ was dropped. I have seen one (1) NDP poster and zero (0) Liberal posters. The CPC and BQ have money and organizations to put up signs but in Quebec that isn't as important as momentum and this wave is big enough to sweep the entire St. Lawrence valley. |
| 11 04 27 |
Stéphane Gaudet 66.130.172.171 |
Sondage Axiome mené du 14 au 16 avril mais publié seulement ce matin (27 avril), soit 11 jours plus tard ! PCC 35,4 BQ 28,7 NPD 23,3 LIB 11,5 Résultats comparables au sondage mené dans le comté voisin, Lévis-Bellechasse. Ici aussi, le PCC semble résister à la vague orange, mais qu'en est-il 11 jours plus tard ? Le NPD a certainement continué à progresser. Assez pour menacer le député Gourde ? Peut-être, mais je maintiens une prédiction pour le PCC dans ce comté du ‘Québec tranquille’ (Pierre Drouilly)au vieux fond bleu et créditiste. Je vois mal un parti de gauche l'emporter dans une région si conservatrice. Mais le NPD ne sera pas loin derrière. |
| 11 04 26 |
Dr Bear & Prof Ape 65.92.25.58 |
We know that logic would dictate a CPC win but they're down to 14% in Quebec polls. What were the CPC polling in '04? Quebecers have no trouble tossing out incumbents when the winds of change start to blow. |
| 11 04 16 |
M. Lunn 174.116.190.108 |
One of the strongest Tory ridings in Quebec. Despite the Tories weakness in Quebec, I don't see them getting wiped out thus they may very well lose other Quebec seats, but not this one. |
| 11 04 14 |
Oliver May 173.176.6.20 |
I have only seen Conservative and Bloc posters in this riding (Which is pretty vast - but I do go to St. Croix once a week). Should be interesting as they have the same family name. Conservatives should hold this unless something strange happens in the next two weeks. |
| 11 04 02 |
M.Lunn 174.116.190.108 |
One of the stronger Tory ridings in Quebec thus unless Tory support collapses in the province which is not impossible, it should stay Tory. |
| 11 03 06 |
Marco Ricci 72.138.2.247 |
A January 2011 Segma poll projection shows a fairly close race here, with the Cons at 40% and the BQ at 35%. http://www.punditsguide.ca/img/Segma_QueCity_2011_Jan21-14_byRid.jpg Will the recent decision by the Cons not to fund the Quebec City arena take away that 5% advantage? |
| 09 09 14 |
Dr Bear & Prof Ape 74.13.72.184 |
Quebec votes can be very fickle, more so than in other places in the country and people very often forget that. We're not saying that Gourde will lose, just that if CPC numbers tank again in Quebec (they've recently clawed themselves up to about 20%) this could be vulnerable. Not for the moment though. |
| 09 08 30 |
wyatt 24.235.142.160 |
While his total dropped from '06 to '08, Gourde still retained a more than 11,000 vote lead. More than enough to keep this seat in the Tory column. |
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