Election Prediction Project
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Canada Federal Election - 2011

Prince Albert


Prediction Changed
2009-08-24 10:18:00
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Batley, Craig Leonard

Brazier, Myk

Hoback, Randy

Mushinski, Valerie

Wassill, Ron

Incumbent:
Randy Hoback

Previous Prediction/result

  • 2008 Prediction
  • 2006 Prediction
  • 2004 Prediction
  • 2000 Prediction
  • prince-albert (163/163 Polls)
  • Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide


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    11 04 17 C.A.B.
    65.94.204.204
    I think a good indicator of this riding's safety for the Tories is that, even in 2004, they won by about 25 points over both the NDP and the Liberals, who were virtually tied for second. In 2008, this was their best urban riding in Saskatchewan. I don't expect them to do much worse this time around.
    11 03 29 M. Lunn
    174.116.190.108
    This was John Diefenbaker's old seat, but after that it went NDP for many years. However today, the NDP struggle just to stay competitive in Prince Albert and with the rural portions voting massively Conservative this will be Conservative in a cakewalk.
    09 08 24 EP
    72.55.153.178
    With the NDP becoming more and more of an urban party, it cedes its traditional territory in rural Saskatchewan ridings like this one. This leaves the Conservative Party with no competition. Unless a regional dissent party appears and starts to field federal candidates, this rural Saskatchewan riding wills stay in the “solidly Conservative column for the foreseeable future.



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