Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Camberwell and Peckham


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:22:24
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Conservative Party
Andy Stranack
Liberal Democrats
Columba Blango
Independent
Decima Shamona Francis
Labour Party
Harriet Harman
Green Party
Jenny Jones
Alliance for Workers' Liberty
Jill Mountford
Workers Revolutionary Party
Joshuwa Ogunleye
Socialist Labour Party
Margaret Sharkey
Independent
Patricia Knox
English Democrats Party
Robby Munilla Yohara
Independent
Steven Robbins

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Harriet Harman
Camberwell & Peckham (100 %)
Rt Hon Tessa Jowell
Dulwich & West Norwood (21.7 %)
Simon Hughes
North Southwark & Bermondsey (4.1 %)

Electorate:
Current
67764
2005
74567

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
24519
3919
7970
Minor
Parties
1068
Other
2177

 


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09 03 17 Predictor
204.9.162.70
Harriet Harman is in no danger of losing the seat as it is very safe and voted for Labour in a by-election in the dark days of 1982. It is a seat with a large black population and much poverty and disadvantage in the prosperous London region.
09 03 07
99.231.184.167
Seat of one of the most high profile cabinet ministers + large margin from previous elections = easy keep for Labour.



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