Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Walthamstow


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:16:22
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Conservative Party
Andy Hemsted
Christian Party
Ashar Javid Mall
Green Party
Daniel Perrett
Liberal Democrats
Farid Ahmed
UK Independence Party
Judith Chisholm-Benli
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition
Nancy Taaffe
Independent
Paul Warburton
Labour Party
Stella Creasy

Incumbent:
Mr Neil Gerrard
Walthamstow (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
64314
2005
63080

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
17324
6254
9330
Other
1537

 


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09 03 17 Predictor
204.9.162.70
It seemed like the end of an era when in 1987 Labour lost this traditional East End fiefdom which had once been represented by Clement Attlee. In actual fact it was more of a protest vote against the local Labour council which whacked up local taxes just weeks before the general election, and the Labour Party in London, which had come - not without justification - to be seen as dominated by the loony left.
Labour clawed it back in 1992 though and this stayed with Labour since. Should be safe.



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