Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Hove


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:25:05
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Independent
Brian Ralfe
Labour Party
Celia Barlow
Green Party
Ian Davey
Conservative Party
Michael Weatherley
Liberal Democrats
Paul Elgood
UK Independence Party
Paul Perrin

Incumbent:
Ms Celia Barlow
Hove (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
70912
2005
70296

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
16848
16391
8106
Minor
Parties
31
Other
3645

 


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10 04 19 EP
99.162.224.34
Everyone expected the Tories to win this last time but they came just shy of beating Barlow. It would be a very bad night if they cannot gain a seat this marginal. Their challenge would be to hold off any surge of the LD numbers (the LD has never been competitive here).



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