Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

South West Surrey


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:13:45
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Independent
Arthur Price
Green Party
Cherry Allan
British National Party
Helen Hamilton
Conservative Party
Jeremy Hunt
Pirate Party UK
Luke Leighton
Liberal Democrats
Mike Simpson
Labour Party
Richard Mollet
UK Independence Party
Roger Meekins

Incumbent:
Mr Jeremy Hunt
South West Surrey (98.9 %)
Anne Milton
Guildford (3.4 %)

Electorate:
Current
75107
2005
74720

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
4136
27237
21070
Other
1128

 


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10 04 26 ridingbyriding
173.32.33.116
Traditionally, areas in the Home Counties, vote Tory. There are a few places that break that trend, however. Last election the LibDems placed a strong second here, it should be enough for them to make it past the post this time.
10 04 19 EP
99.162.224.34
The Lib Dems were focusing a lot of resources here in 2005, and they did not even come close. I suspect they are going to focus on Guildford this time. They would only be able to capture this if their current debate bounce keep up, which is highly unlikely. Tory hold.



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