Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

South East Cornwall


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:25:05
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Liberal Democrats
Karen Gillard
Labour Party
Michael Sparling
Green Party
Roger Creagh-Osborne
Mebyon Kernow
Roger Holmes
Conservative Party
Sheryll Murray
UK Independence Party
Stephanie McWilliam

Incumbent:
Mr Colin Breed
South East Cornwall (85.6 %)

Electorate:
Current
67018
2005
69077

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
4973
16826
20282
Minor
Parties
2521
Other
1148

 


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10 04 24 Former resident
70.29.18.217
Very easy LD hold.
With Clegg's game-changing performance in the TV debate, the Lib Dems are up 12% nationally on their 2005 showing, and the Tories are barely improving (2005: Lab 41, Con 32, LD 18; 2010: Con 33, LD 30, Lab 27).
There has been no sign of an LD slide. Assuming these numbers do hold, it is difficult to see the Tories taking this one, or any LD seats in the South West.
09 09 25 Nick J Boragina
198.96.35.219
The sea of yellow on result maps will vanish this time, as the Tories regain their traditional stomping grounds in the southwest. Constituencies like this one had a close enough margin that with Cameron set to win over 360 seats, this will just be another stepping stone in his victory.



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