Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

St Austell and Newquay


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:14:18
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Conservative Party
Caroline Righton
UK Independence Party
Clive Medway
Mebyon Kernow
Dick Cole
British National Party
James Fitton
Labour Party
Lee Jameson
Liberal Democrats
Stephen Gilbert

Incumbent:
Matthew Taylor
Truro & St Austell (46.1 %)
Dan Rogerson
North Cornwall (27.4 %)
Mr Colin Breed
South East Cornwall (12 %)

Electorate:
Current
67936
2005
70491

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
6656
14678
20919
Minor
Parties
730
Other
2548

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
This was one of the very few areas where Lib Dem racked up a sizable margin in the last election. With improved performance at the local level, this seat will likely return a Lib Dem MP.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10
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