Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Torbay


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 20:28:17
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Liberal Democrats
Adrian Sanders
British National Party
Ann Conway
Labour Party
David Pedrick-Friend
UK Independence Party
Julien Parrott
Conservative Party
Marcus Wood
Green Party
Sam Moss

Incumbent:
Mr Adrian Sanders
Torbay (94.4 %)
Mr Anthony Steen
Totnes (3.4 %)

Electorate:
Current
69340
2005
74761

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
6699
16638
19440
Other
3611

 


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10 04 24 Former resident
70.29.18.217
Easy Lib dem hold.
With Clegg's game-changing performance in the TV debate, the Lib Dems are up 12% nationally on their 2005 showing, and the Tories are barely improving (2005: Lab 41, Con 31, LD 20; 2010: Con 33, LD 30, Lab 27).
If these numbers hold - and they have shown no signof softening, it is difficult to see the Tories taking this one, or any LD seats in the South West.
09 09 25 EP
204.9.162.70
Given the massive swing from LD to Con in the recent Devon local election, this Lib Dem seat is now in serious jeopardy.
09 09 25 Nick J Boragina
198.96.35.219
The sea of yellow on result maps will vanish this time, as the Tories regain their traditional stomping grounds in the southwest. Constituencies like this one had a close enough margin that with Cameron set to win over 360 seats, this will just be another stepping stone in his victory.



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