Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Mid Dorset and North Poole


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:23:10
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Liberal Democrats
Annette Brooke
Labour Party
Darren Adrian Brown
UK Independence Party
Dave Evans
Conservative Party
Nick King

Incumbent:
Annette Brooke
Mid Dorset & North Poole (78.4 %)
Mr Robert Walter
North Dorset (14.9 %)

Electorate:
Current
65066
2005
62778

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
4504
15525
21773
Other
1489

 


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10 04 24 Former resident
70.29.18.217
Easy LD gain/hold.
With Clegg's game-changing performance in the TV debate, the Lib Dems are up 12% nationally on their 2005 showing, and the Tories are barely improving (2005: Lab 41, Con 32, LD 18; 2010: Con 33, LD 30, Lab 27).
There has been no sign of an LD slide. Assuming these numbers do hold, it is difficult to see the Tories taking this one, or any LD seats in the South West.
10 03 13 DW
217.44.243.28
The result here is going to be very very close. I always thought it would stay with Annette Brooke, but a very energetic Conservative campaign could just win it for their candidate.
09 05 15 Dorset7
86.154.245.107
Conservative candidate is very active and well known, he is also building a high profile in the ward and could well take it.



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