Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Filton and Bradley Stoke


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 22:03:54
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
British National Party
David John Scott
Labour Party
Ian Boulton
Conservative Party
Jack Lopresti
UK Independence Party
John Knight
Green Party
Jon Lucas
Liberal Democrats
Peter Tyzack
Christian Party
Ruth Marion Johnson
Independent
Zero None Of The Above

Incumbent:
Dr Doug Naysmith
Bristol North West (44.8 %)
Prof Steve Webb
Northavon (21.1 %)
Dr Roger Berry
Kingswood (16.8 %)

Electorate:
Current
62299
2005
66198

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
14104
15566
11457
Other
2035

 


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10 04 24 Former resident
70.29.18.217
LD gain.
The LD's will benefit hugely from Clegg's game-changing performance in the TV debate. This is one of many seats where they will see that benefit.
09 10 29 Cade
64.228.221.131
I think the Labour prediction here is premature and probably a mistake. Aside from Bristol-South I wouldn't call any seats in the SW for Labour, although chances are they'll win a few more. This will most likely NOT be one of them.
09 06 09 Keith
77.101.221.202
This is a new seat - under different circumstances Labour might be able to mount a challenge here, but in present circumstances this should fall to the Conservatives.



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