Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Luton North


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:09:09
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
UK Independence Party
Colin Brown
Conservative Party
Jeremy Brier
Labour Party
Kelvin Hopkins
Liberal Democrats
Rabi Martins
British National Party
Shelley Rose
Green Party
Simon Hall

Incumbent:
Kelvin Hopkins
Luton North (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
66807
2005
68387

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
19112
12604
6108
Other
1412

 


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10 04 20 Predictor
99.211.152.63
Even if you apply Labour's disastarous polling numbers in the region, Labour would still hold the seat. Margin is wide enough for them to retain barring complete melt down.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10
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