Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Thurrock


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:13:45
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Christian Party
Arinola Araba
Labour Party
Carl Morris
Liberal Democrats
Carys Davis
UK Independence Party
Clive Broad
British National Party
Emma Colgate
Conservative Party
Jackie Doyle-Price

Incumbent:
Andrew Mackinlay
Thurrock (94.3 %)

Electorate:
Current
71067
2005
74973

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
20024
14261
4505
Other
2390

 


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10 04 27 ridingbyriding
173.32.33.116
After the dip after the debates, all three parties seem to now be stable, with Labour tied with the LibDems in the national popular vote. Unless the Tories can increase their lead over Labour, seats like this one will remain Red.
10 04 20 Predictor
99.211.152.63
Even if you apply Labour's disastarous polling numbers in the region, Labour would still hold the seat by a hair. This would certainly be competitive all the way to the end.



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