Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Louth and Horncastle


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:07:29
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
English Democrats Party
Colin Mair
Independent
Daniel Anthony Simpson
Liberal Democrats
Fiona Martin
British National Party
Julia Green
UK Independence Party
Pat Nurse
Labour Party
Patrick Mountain
Conservative Party
Peter Tapsell

Incumbent:
Sir Peter Tapsell
Louth & Horncastle (97.2 %)
Mr Edward Leigh
Gainsborough (2.5 %)

Electorate:
Current
70463
2005
74950

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
12192
21223
9149
Other
3946

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Even when they were losing badly overall, the Tories managed to rack up healthy margin in the area. With their numbers ticking up, this would be one of the earliest seats to be declared blue.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10
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