Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Northampton North


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:13:45
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Liberal Democrats
Andrew Simpson
Green Party
Anthony Lochmuller
Independent
Eamonn Fitzpatrick
UK Independence Party
Jim MacArthur
Independent
Malcolm Mildren
Conservative Party
Michael Ellis
British National Party
Ray Beasley
Labour Party
Sally Keeble
Christian Party
Timothy Webb

Incumbent:
Ms Sally Keeble
Northampton North (84.9 %)
Mr Brian Binley
Northampton South (2.4 %)

Electorate:
Current
64212
2005
64901

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
14604
10706
9822
Other
1866

 


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10 04 24 Former resident
70.29.18.217
A 3-way marginal that looks ripe for the LD surge to claim. They need just a 6% swing to claim it, and their national numbers are WAY beyond that.
Bookies being cautious - given the Tories were barely ahead of the LDs in 2005, seems very unlikely the national trend will not be reflected here.
Ladbrokes: LD 2/1 Con 4/5 Lab 4/1



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