Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Newark


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:07:29
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Labour Party
Ian Campbell
Conservative Party
Patrick Mercer
Liberal Democrats
Pauline Jenkins
UK Independence Party
Rev Tom Irvine

Incumbent:
Patrick Mercer
Newark (75.9 %)
Rt Hon Kenneth Clarke
Rushcliffe (14 %)
Paddy Tipping
Sherwood (5.6 %)
John Mann
Bassetlaw (2.3 %)

Electorate:
Current
69803
2005
71881

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
12289
24934
7777
Other
1137

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Even when they were losing badly overall, the Tories managed to rack up healthy margin in the area. With their numbers ticking up, this would be one of the earliest seats to be declared blue.



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