Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Kenilworth and Southam


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:34:48
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Green Party
James Harrison
Conservative Party
Jeremy Wright
Independent
Joe Rukin
UK Independence Party
John Moore
Labour Party
Nicholas Milton
Liberal Democrats
Nigel Rock

Incumbent:
Jeremy Wright
Rugby & Kenilworth (33.3 %)
Mr John Maples
Stratford-on-Avon (28.9 %)
Mr James Plaskitt
Warwick & Leamington (13.2 %)

Electorate:
Current
62708
2005
62919

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
11294
21853
8882
Other
1011

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Even when they were losing badly overall, the Tories managed to rack up healthy margin in the area. With their numbers ticking up, this would be one of the earliest seats to be declared blue.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10
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