Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

York Outer


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:13:45
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
British National Party
Cathy Smurthwaite
Labour Party
James Alexander
UK Independence Party
Judith Morris
Conservative Party
Julian Sturdy
Liberal Democrats
Madeleine Kirk

Incumbent:
Miss Anne McIntosh
Vale of York (33.8 %)
Mr John Greenway
Ryedale (26.2 %)
Mr John Grogan
Selby (23.1 %)
Hugh Bayley
York, City of (13 %)

Electorate:
Current
71613
2005
71331

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
12410
15855
18117
Other
419

 


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10 04 23 JFBreton
24.203.249.32
The transposition of the vote in the new riding limits is interesting. A three ways race, with an advantage to LibDems. With the good performance of LibDems nationnaly, a gain.



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