Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Sheffield Central


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:21:20
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Conservative Party
Andrew Lee
UK Independence Party
Jeffrey Shaw
Green Party
Jillian Creasy
Labour Party
Paul Blomfield
Liberal Democrats
Paul Scriven
Independent
Rod Rodgers
British National Party
Tracey Smith

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Richard Caborn
Sheffield Central (72.9 %)
Rt Hon Nick Clegg
Sheffield, Hallam (13.7 %)
Ms Angela C. Smith
Sheffield, Hillsborough (12.5 %)

Electorate:
Current
65261
2005
61708

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
14786
3581
10077
Minor
Parties
1535
Other
3360

 


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10 04 27 Former resident
209.250.145.174
LDs are up 7% nationally, but up 11-12% in the North-East, Yorkshire and East Midlands, with the Labour vote down 10-14% in the same regions (8% nationally).
That additional regional swing would be enough for the LDs to win this seat. LD gain.
10 04 19 JFBreton
207.134.225.57
Solid and tight race between Labour and LibDems. With the expenses scandal, short LibDems gain.



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