Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Morley and Outwood


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:16:22
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Conservative Party
Antony Calvert
British National Party
Chris Beverley
UK Independence Party
David Daniel
Labour Party
Ed Balls
Liberal Democrats
James Monaghan

Incumbent:
Colin Challen
Morley & Rothwell (66.3 %)
Rt Hon Ed Balls
Normanton (34.5 %)

Electorate:
Current
69583
2005
70417

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
21043
10138
2638
Minor
Parties
4317
Other
2977

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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