Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:16:22
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Independent
Mike Allen
Liberal Democrats
Nick Emmerson
Conservative Party
Paul Bristow
British National Party
Shaun Gatley
UK Independence Party
Stuart Lightwing
Labour Party
Tom Blenkinsop

Incumbent:
Dr Ashok Kumar
Middlesbrough South & East Cleveland (98.8 %)
Sir Stuart Bell
Middlesbrough (1.2 %)

Electorate:
Current
71942
2005
71831

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
21875
13840
6106
Other
1745

 


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10 04 20 Predictor
99.211.152.63
Labour has a pretty large margin to work with, and the sympathy votes (due to the death of good constituency MP Dr. Kumar) would enable to retain this seat.



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