Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Blyth Valley


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:33:53
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
English Democrats Party
Allan White
Independent
Barrie Elliott
Conservative Party
Barry Flux
UK Independence Party
James Condon
Liberal Democrats
Jeffrey Reid
Labour Party
Ronnie Campbell
British National Party
Steve Fairbairn

Incumbent:
Mr Ronnie Campbell
Blyth Valley (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
62657
2005
63640

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
19658
4983
11132

 


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10 04 26 ridingbyriding
173.32.33.116
This seat deserves a second look. While the gap is too large for me to feel comfortable calling it for the LibDems, it is one of the seats they could pick up at current polling levels. The question then becomes weather these polling levels will stick on election day or not.
10 04 20 Predictor
99.211.152.63
If LibDem retain their currently momentum, they might have an outside chance of picking this one up, but that is unlikely.



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