Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Newcastle upon Tyne East


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:09:09
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
British National Party
Alan Spence
Green Party
Andrew Gray
Conservative Party
Dominic Llewellyn
Communist Party of Britain
Martin Levy
Labour Party
Nick Brown
Liberal Democrats
Wendy Taylor

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Nicholas Brown
Newcastle upon Tyne East & Wallsend (74.5 %)
Jim Cousins
Newcastle upon Tyne Central (28.6 %)

Electorate:
Current
68068
2005
60374

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
17670
4105
11332
Other
791

 


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10 04 27 Former resident
209.250.145.174
LDs are up 7% nationally, but up 11-12% in the North-East, Yorkshire and East Midlands, with the Labour vote down 10-14% in the same regions (8% nationally).
That additional regional swing makes this one neck and neck, although the Guardian is saying it would be enough for the LDs to sweep Newcastle. TCTC.
10 04 27 Former resident
209.250.145.174
LDs are up 7% nationally, but up 11-12% in the North-East, Yorkshire and East Midlands, with the Labour vote down 10-14% in the same regions (8% nationally).
That additional regional swing makes this one neck and neck, although the Guardian is saying it would be enough for the LDs to sweep Newcastle. TCTC - this is not a certain Labour victory by any means.
10 04 20 Predictor
99.211.152.63
If LibDem retain their currently momentum, they might have an outside chance of picking this one up, but that is unlikely. While many would cheer the downfall of Nick Brown, being a frontbencher he does have extra resource at his disposal



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