Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Lancaster and Fleetwood


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:50:25
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Labour Party
Clive Grunshaw
British National Party
Debra Kent
Conservative Party
Eric Ollerenshaw
UK Independence Party
Fred McGlade
Green Party
Gina Dowding
Independent
Keith Riley
Liberal Democrats
Stuart Langhorn

Incumbent:
Mr Ben Wallace
Lancaster & Wyre (53.1 %)
Mrs Joan Humble
Blackpool North & Fleetwood (26.7 %)
Geraldine Smith
Morecambe & Lunesdale (1.4 %)

Electorate:
Current
63849
2005
63880

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
17947
11157
7071
Other
3639

 


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10 05 04 ridingbyriding
173.32.33.116
There is too little time to close a gap that is just too large
10 04 22 Predictor
99.211.152.63
Lancaster with Wyre makes this a much more marginal seats. Wyre was the real Tory part of the seat.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10
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