Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Liverpool, Wavertree


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 10:16:22
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Conservative Party
Andrew Garnett
Liberal Democrats
Colin Eldridge
Independent
Frank Dunne
Socialist Labour Party
Kim Singleton
Labour Party
Luciana Berger
UK Independence Party
Neil Miney
Green Party
Rebecca Lawson
British National Party
Steven McEllenborough

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Jane Kennedy
Liverpool, Wavertree (81.3 %)
Mrs Louise Ellman
Liverpool, Riverside (7.9 %)
Maria Eagle
Liverpool, Garston (7 %)
Mr Robert N. Wareing
Liverpool, West Derby (1.4 %)

Electorate:
Current
72256
2005
67501

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
17620
2050
13371
Minor
Parties
21
Other
842

 


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10 05 03 Adrian Bailey
82.36.129.101
The LibDems need a 4% swing, and the national swing at the moment is 4%. Add in all the extra campaigning and they will have a clear majority.
10 04 26 JFBreton
207.134.225.57
A LibDems win here, considering the popularity of Clegg and LibDems.
10 04 24 Former resident
64.231.161.131
The Lib Dems are polling up 12% on 2005, and Labour are down 14%.
This seat is in the top 30 Lib Dem targets, and needs a swing that is less than half the current swing estimated by the polls. This is going LD.
10 04 12 Rhyddfrydol
92.41.72.72
The bookies are backing Colin Eldridge to take this seat off Labour; the Liberal Democrats are indeed very strong in local government in the area.



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