||Scottish National Party|
||UK Independence Party|
Dunfermline & West Fife (100 %)
Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
Put your political/campaign ad here! Replace it with your campaign ad! See sponsorship details.
| ||10 04 30
||Laird of Camster|
|Willie Rennie seems likely to win, though it will be shown as a gain on the night.|
| ||10 04 27
|By-Election or not, I find it a little hard to stomach that any LibDem should lose his or her seat this go.|
| ||10 04 27
|With the LibDems surging in Scotland, as in the U.K. as a whole, it seems unlikely that they will lose any seat they already hold, even one which was only won in a by-election.|
| ||10 04 11
|Willie Rennie has built up a powerful base. The LibDems won the corresponding Holyrood seat, and Mr Rennie should buck the trend of by-election winners losing at the General election.|
| ||10 01 23
|Tactical voting against Labour, and for the incumbent should see the SNP and Tories squeezed, and the Lib Dems should win here again.|
| ||10 01 06
|I don't think the by-election result here was quite as extraordinary as the Glasgow East result (which really is a rock solid Labour seat).|
If there's one seat in Scotland that has changed hands in a by-election since 2005, that is likely not to go back to the original party, then I would say Dunfermline & West Fife would be that seat.
The Lib-Dem majority is nearly 2000 here, and it's quite possible that the tactical anti-Labour vote could go to the Lib Dems, possibly increasing their majority. (Also Lib Dems hold the Holyrood seat).
| ||09 03 09
|It is highly questionable whether the stunning by-election upset can be repeated.|