Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Vale of Glamorgan


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 22:03:54
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Labour Party
Alana Davies
Conservative Party
Alun Cairns
Liberal Democrats
Eluned Parrott
Plaid Cymru
Ian Johnson
Christian Party
John Harrold
UK Independence Party
Kevin Mahoney
Green Party
Rhodri Thomas

Incumbent:
John Smith
Vale of Glamorgan (95.2 %)
Mrs Madeleine Moon
Bridgend (4.5 %)

Electorate:
Current
68229
2005
68245

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
19321
17398
6098
2514
Other
1430

 


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10 05 04 ridingbyriding
173.32.33.116
This is a ruralish seat, that is easily seen on a map (it's the big one in the south of Wales) That ruralish character will push it towards the Tories.
09 05 12 Harry Hayfield
86.162.248.51
The Vale of Glamorgan is the 31st Conservative target according to the calculations created by Thrasher and Rallings for the Press Association, BBC News, ITN and Sky News and would be a Con GAIN on a swing of 1.68%. In the local elections in the Vale of Glamorgan council area, the swing to Con was 6%



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