Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

Cynon Valley


Prediction Changed
2010-05-07 09:22:24
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Labour Party
Ann Clwyd
Plaid Cymru
Dafydd Trystan Davies
UK Independence Party
Frank Hughes
Conservative Party
Juliette Ash
Liberal Democrats
Lee Thacker

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Ann Clwyd
Cynon Valley (100 %)
Dr Kim Howells
Pontypridd (6.1 %)

Electorate:
Current
48272
2005
49354

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
18295
2240
3769
3938
Other
833

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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