Election Prediction Project
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Ontario Provincial Election - 2011

Hamilton Centre


Prediction Changed
2011-10-06 22:31:15
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Baldasaro, Michael

Gracey, Anthony

Horwath, Andrea

Kuhlmann, Robert

Lawson, Chris

Ormond, Peter

Passmore, Steven

Sheppard, Don

Szajkowski, Robert

Tiqui-Shebib, Donna

Incumbent:
Andrea Horwath

Reference:

  • Federal Riding Prediction
  • Previous Prediction - 2007 Provincial Election


    2007 Result:


    * ANDREA HORWATH
    17,17644.72%
    STEVE RUDDICK
    11,09628.89%
    CHRIS ROBERTSON
    5,67314.77%
    PETER ORMOND
    3,6109.40%
    LYNNE SCIME
    5501.43%
    BOB MANN
    3020.79%

    2003 Result (redistributed):

    1511642.34%
    654418.33%
    1194233.45%


  •  


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    11 09 14 A.S.
    99.233.218.204
    While it was still a solid win, Horwath underpolled some expectations, largely because the Greens took a big near-rebate chunk of the vote. For quite obvious reasons, such underpolling is well nigh impossible now--then again, who knows; after all, the polling highwater mark for Premier Bates in Ottawa South remains 1995...
    11 08 23 R.O.
    24.146.23.226
    Andrea Horwath will easily hold this riding regardless of whatever happens to the ndp , get a sense there vote is volatile and may go up or down depending on what happens . Hamilton remains a fairly safe ndp area so its likely to stay that way on election day regardless of if ndp makes significant gains in other parts of the province or not. its very tough to say if provincial ndp can match the numbers federal party got back in May or come anywhere close to number of seats won federally in Ontario.
    11 07 22 robert
    70.55.6.99
    Andrea in a romp. The other parties might as well run pylons.
    11 03 01
    98.124.47.251
    NDP no questions asked! Andrea is a well liked leader and this riding is easily the safest seats in Ontario, outside of the north.
    Vote share for NDP goes up 5%.
    11 02 28 SB
    70.26.159.40
    NDP leader Andrea Horwath is popular in Hamilton and to her party faithfuls. The NDP will win this seat with over 50% of the vote.



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