Election Prediction Project
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Ontario Provincial Election - 2011

Toronto-Danforth


Prediction Changed
2011-10-06 22:20:30
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Clarke, Kevin

Jethi, Rita

Mercer, Neil

Recker, John Christopher

Richardson, John

Sterling, Marisa

Tabuns, Peter

Vera, Stéphane

Whalley, Tim

Incumbent:
Peter Tabuns

Reference:

  • Federal Riding Prediction
  • Previous Prediction - 2007 Provincial Election


    2007 Result:


    * PETER TABUNS
    17,97545.85%
    JOYCE ROWLANDS
    11,44829.20%
    ROBERT BISBICIS
    4,42311.28%
    PATRICK KRAEMER
    4,37211.15%
    MARK SCOTT
    4601.17%
    MICHAEL KIDD
    2730.70%
    SHONA BRACKEN
    2530.65%

    2003 Result (redistributed):

    1153130.75%
    634516.92%
    1763147.03%


  •  


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    11 09 17 JR Toronto
    184.145.86.234
    Did a drive through of the full riding and did a count of signs on private property (houses). Tabuns had 102, the Libs had 16, the PC's had 14. This will be an NDP blow-out.
    11 09 10 A.S.
    99.233.218.204
    Even before August 22, 2011, Tabuns was in no real danger. Now, he might well be the safest sitting MPP in the whole 416.
    11 09 10 R.O.
    24.146.23.226
    Very safe ndp seat , don't see the other parties making much progress here this year , Peter Tabuns will likely hold the riding this October , real race in Toronto Danforth if there is any this year will be the federal by-election to replace the late Jack Layton.
    11 08 29 Marshall Howard Bader
    70.50.221.125
    Peter Tabuns is probably the strongest MPP in Toronto. This will be a landslide victory.
    11 07 23 MF
    74.15.64.245
    While not charismatic, Peter Tabuns has done a good job as the NDP energy and environment critic and is generally a good fit for Danforth, plus this has long been NDP territory. Not much of a race here.
    11 05 10 Love Game
    66.203.207.68
    NDP will continue to hold this riding and most likely expand their margin unless a blue surge hits the province. It is the world of politics and the election is ~6 months away but I'd place a bet on NDP solid hold.
    11 02 18 binriso
    156.34.213.168
    I don’t expect the NDP to lose any Toronto area seats (or any of their seats for that matter) and especially not Layton’s federal and Tabun’s provincial seat that has been held through 50 years for the provincial NDP.



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