Election Prediction Project
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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2011

West Vancouver-Capilano


Prediction Changed
2013-05-14 23:41:58
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Audain, Tunya

Jones, David

Markwick, Michael

Platt, Terry

Sultan, Ralph

Incumbent:
Ralph Sultan

Reference:

  • Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election
  • Pundits’ Guide - 2008 Prepresentation Order


    2009 Result:


    Ralph Sultan*
    1529267.48%
    Terry Platt
    329114.52%
    Ryan Windsor
    1,6997.50%
    David Owen Marley
    1,4896.57%
    Eddie Petrossian
    7103.13%
    Tunya Audain
    1820.80%


  •  


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    13 03 28 GV
    206.47.112.39
    No chance of a loss for Ralph Sultan, though he's getting awfully old...
    13 03 08 NO PARTISAN BS
    99.253.117.108
    No chance of the Liberals losing this seat unless they implode province wide. One of the safest Liberal seats in the election.
    13 02 15 Laurence Putnam
    174.7.106.35
    The suggestion this riding could have slipped is fundamentally absurd. Sultan won with just 67% last time, one of his worst showings since his initial election in 2001. He could bleed another 20% and still win comfortably. Sultan is highly respected in the riding and by the way, the HST referendum was over 70% in favour here. BC Liberals will win this in a walk.
    13 02 10 Insider
    99.231.65.45
    This riding could have slipped from the Liberals if the Conservatives were doing better. With the Conservative 'surge' being a temporary phenomenon, the Liberals will hold on to this even in a total meltdown.
    13 02 09 Jack Cox
    24.150.190.40
    I've run numbers in the latest polling and of the 19 seats the BCL is projected to win in this this one is considered one of 4 safe seats. Sufficed to say this one will be kept by the Liberals.



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