14 06 01	A.S. 99.233.52.111
For an idea of what motivates Horwath's campaign strategy, just go south of the Linc' and notice all the orange signs in seas of barren, anodyne subdivision that would have been farms and muddy fields back when Andrea was in high school. Which, to a lot of Gang of 34 sympathizer sorts, is way out in implausible nosebleed country (hey--that's *their* problem). And w/Sophie Ag. replaced by the guy who ran a poor 2nd-going-on-3rd to David Xtopherson federally in '06...well, don't be surprised if history repeats itself for Mirza.
	14 05 29	New resident 108.170.160.61
I enjoy checking this site for updates, and especially follow the too close to call ridings. Almost unanimously I agree with the current predictions on this site, even when I would hope the results might be otherwise. This is the one exception. I can't understand why Hamilton Mountain is listed as TCTC when it is an incumbent and party stronghold in a year of higher polling than last election, and wasn't affected by the recent NDP polling dip in Toronto (which has now reversed). The Canadian election atlas currently has this riding poll average weighted at over double the support of the challengers: http://canadianelectionatlas.blogspot.ca/2014/05/2014-ontario-election-projection-week-4.html
	14 05 25	jeff316 69.196.138.207
This could have potentially flipped if the Liberals had run Aggolonitis again; she was well liked in both Hamilton and Queen's Park and her loss was unexpected. The current election dynamics, with Mirza's candidacy (weak) and the NDP's positioning (actually a benefit in a riding like this), don't make a Liberal win likely.
	14 05 22	Alice 67.70.86.233
NDP support isn't dropping in the Hamilton region like it is in Toronto. NDP hold here.
	14 05 14	Mr. Dave 96.30.165.22
The NDP's support would have to drop very low for them to lose this riding. Howorth's popularity in the Hamilton region makes this an easy hold.
	14 05 12	Dr Bear 69.172.81.45
I fail to see why this is TCTC. The NDP are quite popular in Hamilton proper; the Liberals are sinking outside of their strongholds; and the PC's grand idea to create jobs is to layoff 100 000 public sector employees...yeah that'll go over well in a city with high unemployment. I see a solid NDP win here with PC efforts focus on Ancaster-Dundas instead.
	14 05 04	monkey 174.114.16.226
If the Liberals were to win one of the three urban Hamilton ridings, it would probably be this one, but considering how much they've fallen outside the GTA and a few urban ridings, I cannot see them regaining this while the Tories have been competitive here from time to time, this is a very heavily unionized riding so being seen as anti-labour is a sure way to ensure you aren't even competitive here.
	14 05 03	Teddy Boragina 198.96.35.90
Horwath is very popular all across Hamilton. Her coat tails will ensure this riding stays orange.
	13 07 03	Son of the Hammer 69.164.180.103
The nomination of less-than-typical candidates for the PCs and Liberals will make this an interesting race. It's true that Monique will have strong support, and coat-tails to ride from both Charlton and Horwath, but this race is certainly no shoo-in.
	13 04 07	seasaw 99.225.1.213
The contest in this riding is for second place. Why ? NDP has only lost the riding 4 times since its inception. The first time in 1995, when everyone was against Bob Rae, 1999 and 2003 due to strategic voting and in '07 when NDP was very weak. None of the above apply this time. NDP hold.
	13 03 15	kingstonstudent 70.54.80.10
Although this riding does have fairly large chunks of more affluent voters, Chris Charlton's successive victories at the federal level (and Monique Taylor's victory last time out) should be solid proof that this is nonetheless NDP-friendly territory.