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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017

Boundary-Similkameen


Prediction Changed
2017-05-04 21:36:48
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Entwistle, Peter

Larson, Linda Margaret

Lavers, Vonnie

Ross, Colleen

Incumbent:
Boundary-Similkameen
Linda Larson

Reference:
Population (2014):42340
Deviation from average:-20.30%
Geographical Area:15614 sq km
2013 Election Result
Boundary-Similkameen
Linda Margaret Larson
849946.59%
Sam Hancheroff
711338.99%
John Kwasnica
16028.78%
Mischa Popoff
6553.59%
Doug Pederson
3752.05%
Previous Prediction - 2013 Provincial Election
Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election


 

03/05/2017 hay sting
24.85.198.4
There are conflicting polls for the Interior region of B.C. But none show the NDP with much of a lead and most show the BC Liberals ahead by a hair or a much wider margin. The BCL strategy seems tailored to the interior.
It certainly seems like the urban/rural divide will be on full display on May 9. Though the NDP may just manage to hold most of their interior seats, this seems just out of reach as a pickup.
17 03 08 South Islander
207.6.126.250
Last election, Larson held this riding for the BC Liberals by 8% when the party won by 5%. Now with an incumbency advantage, she should be able to hold this unless the NDP improve significantly in the interior and are headed for a big win.
17 01 25 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
This is a swing riding, Linda Larson has never had it easy here, despite winning by eight points, this is a riding the NDP would need to win if they hope to form Government.



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