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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017

Chilliwack


Prediction Changed
2017-01-21 18:18:26
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Froese, Wayne

Martin, John

McKinnon, Ryan

O'Hara, Tracey Lorrean

Incumbent:
Chilliwack
John Martin

Reference:
Population (2014):49089
Deviation from average:-7.60%
Geographical Area:135 sq km
2013 Election Result
Chilliwack
John Martin
998947.56%
Patti MacAhonic
655131.19%
Chad Elton Eros
251511.98%
Kim Reimer
17668.41%
Michael Raymond Halliday
1810.86%
Previous Prediction - 2013 Provincial Election
Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election


 

13/04/2017 Physastr Master
154.20.91.151
Actually, by the numbers, prior to O'Mahony's win, Chilliwack was closer than Chilliwack-Hope - by-elections have a habit of skewing statistics. The Chilliwack ridings both seem naturally Liberal, but in terms of flat numbers it wouldn't take a massive majority government to flip one or even both. In a tied election, these ridings would be no more Liberal than something like Burnaby-Lougheed would be NDP. With the current numbers in the Lower Mainland with the NDP up 8 points, this may actually be in play!
17 01 20 JC
24.212.227.58
This is the much more solid Chilliwack seat for the Liberals, if the NDP takes this they'd probably have a majority government but for now it's BC Liberal Territory.



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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017
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