Election Prediction Project

British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017

Mid Island-Pacific Rim

Prediction Changed
2017-01-17 20:22:27

Constituency Profile



Cebuliak, Dan

Clarke, Robert Alexander

DeLuca, Darren Frank

Fell, Julian

Fraser, Scott Kenneth

La Rue, Alicia

Alberni-Pacific Rim
Scott Fraser

Population (2014):52833
Deviation from average:-0.50%
Geographical Area:14099 sq km
2013 Election Result
Alberni-Pacific Rim
Scott Kenneth Fraser*
Darren Frank DeLuca
Enid Mary Sangster-Kelly
Previous Prediction - 2013 Provincial Election
Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election


17 03 09 South Islander
With the pulp mill town of Port Alberni, alternative communities like Tofino, Uclulet, Coombs, and Cumberland, plus Denman and Hornby Islands, this is solid NDP country. Greens may eat into the NDP margin, but they aren't going to win seats that NDP incumbents held by 23% last time.
17 01 14 Jack Cox
Scott Fraser won this by over 20 points last time and with not enough significant changes from the last polling data since then I suspect he holds this.

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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017
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