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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017

Peace River South


Prediction Changed
2017-01-17 20:23:40
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Bernier, Mike

Incumbent:
Peace River South
Hon. Mike Bernier

Reference:
Population (2014):28104
Deviation from average:-47.10%
Geographical Area:30364 sq km
2013 Election Result
Peace River South
Mike Bernier
437346.73%
Kurt Zane Peats
254627.21%
Darwin Wren
198821.24%
Tyrel Andrew Pohl
4514.82%
Previous Prediction - 2013 Provincial Election
Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election


 

17 03 08 South Islander
184.71.12.34
Conservative voters in the PR districts are the most likely to elect an MLA to the right of this government. BC Conservatives finished within 20% of winning the district last time when they won less than 5% province-wide. If the BC Conservatives can hold onto half of their current double-digit support, it will be concentrated enough that I think they would win here.
17 01 14 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
Rural BC for the most part tends to vote like Rural Alberta it goes for the more right leaning party, the only time the NDP came close is in 1991 and 1996 when there was a split in the right wing between the now defunct Social Credit and then The Reform Party, there is no such split now at the moment and so this is in the Liberal Column.



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