Election Prediction Project

British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017

Powell River-Sunshine Coast

Prediction Changed
2017-01-21 18:19:25

Constituency Profile



Darwin, Kim

Richards, Reuben

Simons, Nicholas

Wilson, Mathew

Powell River-Sunshine Coast
Nicholas Simons

Population (2014):50039
Deviation from average:-5.80%
Geographical Area:21007 sq km
2013 Election Result
Powell River-Sunshine Coast
Nicholas Simons*
Patrick Muncaster
Richard Carl Till
Previous Prediction - 2013 Provincial Election
Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election


08/05/2017 Miles Lunn
Interesting race as Greens are strong here and you do have the son of Gordon Wilson so I wouldn't be surprised if you see an uptick in BC Liberal support. But unlike Gordon Wilson, I don't think Matthew Wilson has the profile to pull this off as this is naturally an NDP riding.
I think that Nicholas Simons has huge support. I'm concerned that some voters who do support him will assume that he will get in and choose to show token support for the Greens instead. I could be wrong though since many Greens are not impressed by Weaver's coziness with the Liberals, whose policies are really horrible for the environment and the ordinary people that the Greens supposedly support.
18/04/2017 Laurence Putnam
No way the well-established Simons loses this seat, although I would expect a very strong showing from Kim Darwin of the Greens. Signs are all over, including many laws throughout Gibsons, Sechelt and even in Powell River. The days of the unionized mill are almost over in PR, only about 350 jobs left there, more and more this is becoming Green-friendly...not this time out, but I wouldn't be surprised to see the Greens get a result in the 20's or even 30%.
17 03 09 South Islander
There's only one Wilson who could win this one for the Liberals, and he ain't the one running.
17 01 19 Pundit79
Look for Nicholas Simons to win this riding comfortably for a 4th straight time.

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