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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017

Shuswap


Prediction Changed
2017-01-14 13:59:37
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Babcock, Kevin

Kyllo, Gregory James

Lindgren, Sylvia Jean

McCormack, Kyle

Incumbent:
Shuswap
Greg Kyllo

Reference:
Population (2014):56352
Deviation from average:6.10%
Geographical Area:8610 sq km
2013 Election Result
Shuswap
Greg Kyllo
1199247.92%
Steve Gunner
739829.57%
Tom Birch
323212.92%
Chris George
23389.34%
Johanna Zalcik
630.25%
Previous Prediction - 2013 Provincial Election
Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election


 

25/04/2017
24.86.106.178
The last poll from two different companies had the NDP pulling even with the Liberals in the interior. If things continue we could potentially see the next tier of Liberal ridings approach the TCTC zone. Lucky for the Liberals most of those ridings are filled with cabinet ministers, though Shuswap is an exception. Kyllo does have a few advantages, namely he is now an incumbent and there is no Conservative candidate in this riding. The riding is probably a longshot right now for the NDP and they won't need it to form government, but I see this riding as the most likely 'safe' Liberal interior riding to flip.
17 01 12 Bernard von Schulmann
24.68.4.112
Greg Kyllo won by a decent margin in 2013, he should do better this year



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