Election Prediction Project

British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017


Prediction Changed
2017-01-17 20:25:21

Constituency Profile



Cariou, Kimball Mark

Simpson, Shane Lee

Spitz, Jane

Wong, David H.T.

Shane Simpson

Population (2014):59491
Deviation from average:12.00%
Geographical Area:14 sq km
2013 Election Result
Shane Simpson*
Fatima Siddiqui
Brennan Wauters
Carrol B Woolsey
Previous Prediction - 2013 Provincial Election
Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election


21/04/2017 Proud BCer
One of two ridings (out of 79) the NDP won in their wipe-out defeat in 2001, this riding is almost certain to stay with them again in this election. Easy NDP hold.
17 03 10 South Islander
The NDP experienced rock bottom in 2001, and it included this riding.
17 01 16 political animal
this working class riding was one of 2 NDP holdouts in the 201 election and Shane Simpson got over 50% of the votes last 2 elections I say it will
easily be held on by the NDP this election too
17 01 15 Pundit79
One of safest BCNDP ridings in the province. Look for Shane Simpson to win for the forth consecutive election.
17 01 14 Jack Cox
This was one of only two ridings in 2001 that went for the NDP during the lowest point of their party history, there is simply no way they lose this seat.

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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017
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