Election Prediction Project

British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017


Prediction Changed
2017-01-17 20:25:41

Constituency Profile



Bae, Charles

Calder, Ellisa

Dix, Adrian

Mullins, Brette

Nguyen, Trang

Adrian Dix

Population (2014):62459
Deviation from average:17.60%
Geographical Area:9 sq km
2013 Election Result
Adrian Dix*
Gurjit Dhillon
Gregory Dale Esau
Previous Prediction - 2013 Provincial Election
Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election


08/05/2017 Miles Lunn
Adrian Dix may have missed his opportunity to be premier in 2013, but he should have no trouble holding his riding. The BC Liberals have a strong base here so it won't be as big a blowout as say in Vancouver-Hastings or Vancouver-Mount Pleasant, but the NDP should still take this. Now if the NDP win this time and mess up badly, then it could be up for grabs in 2021 but this is really only a riding the BC Liberals can win if taking out an unpopular NDP government, not one they can hold while in government.
21/04/2017 Proud BCer
Former leader (and failed candidate for premier in 2013) Adrian Dix is running again in this safe NDP seat. He should win again easily.
17 03 10 South Islander
No matter how badly things go for the NDP in Vancouver, they will hold Mount Pleasant, Hastings, the West End and this district.
17 01 14 Jack Cox
Except for the 2001 BC Liberal Landslide this seat has always gone for the NDP and even voted for the CCF back in its earlier inception. Dix will not lose here.
17 01 13 damich@outlook.com
Former BCNDP leader Adrian Dix will have no trouble winning this riding a forth consecutive election and will likely be in cabinet if the BCNDP wins.

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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017
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