Election Prediction Project

British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017

Vancouver-Mount Pleasant

Prediction Changed
2017-01-05 22:36:09

Constituency Profile



Hansen, Mike

Kroll, Jerry

Lin, Conny

Marcus, Peter

Mark, Melanie

Mor, Shai Joseph

Vancouver-Mount Pleasant
Melanie Mark

Population (2014):58041
Deviation from average:9.30%
Geographical Area:13 sq km
2013 Election Result
Vancouver-Mount Pleasant
Jenny Wai Ching Kwan*
Celyna Sia Sherst
Barinder Hans
William Austin
Jeremy Gustafson
Peter Marcus
Previous Prediction - 2013 Provincial Election
Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election


08/05/2017 Miles Lunn
This is the safest NDP riding in the province so even if the NDP were reduced to one seat, it would be this one. This riding is so left leaning it would probably be one of the few in the province if not only that would vote Communist before voting BC Liberal.
21/04/2017 Proud BCer
Safest NDP seat in the province, although the Greens finished with a strong second in a by-election here last year. Incumbent NDP MLA Melanie Mark, who is also the first aboriginal woman elected to the BC Legislature, could be a strong candidate for leader of the NDP if John Horgan calls it quits after the election.
18/04/2017 Laurence Putnam
It would actually be a lot of fun to run for another other party than the NDP in this riding; you could promise whatever you want and run a bombastic, fun filled campaign knowing that you would never win the riding no matter what you said or did. Much moreso than even Hastings or Kingsway these days, this former riding of Grace McCarthy is now the safest NDP seat in Vancouver; bar none.
17/04/2017 Malkmus
This is Mount Pleasant, one of the most progressive ridings in the province. Nothing to see here.
17 03 10 South Islander
The NDP experienced rock bottom in 2001, and it included this riding.
17 01 05 Brian J
One of the two hold-outs from the 2001 BCNDP rout, this seat was never going to go anywhere but one place. To top that, BC's first aboriginal woman MLA is the incumbent and she's a lock for cabinet in a Horgan-led NDP government if they win.
The question isn't whether Melanie will win; it's who will come in second.
17 01 04 Pundit79
Easy hold for Melanie Mark in the BCNDP's safest riding in the province.

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