Election Prediction Project

British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017


Prediction Changed
2017-01-08 23:25:43

Constituency Profile



Barkusky, Michael

Lalonde, Madeline

Morrison, William

Wilkinson, Andrew

Hon. Andrew Wilkinson

Population (2014):59953
Deviation from average:12.90%
Geographical Area:23 sq km
2013 Election Result
Andrew Franklin Wilkinson
Nicholas Scapillati
Damian Kettlewell
Bill Clarke
Previous Prediction - 2013 Provincial Election
Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election


08/05/2017 Miles Lunn
Even with NDP gains in the city proper, this is so strongly BC Liberal they will hold this. That being said looking at province wide shifts, the BC Liberals could fall below 60%, but still will win this either way.
29/04/2017 Laurence Putnam
It is kind of the other candidates to offer their names as alternative choices; it's fundamentally important to democracy. But that's all it is in this riding.
21/04/2017 Proud BCer
Even if the BC Liberals are reduced to less then 5 seats in the election, this will be one of them. Incumbent BC Liberal MLA Andrew Wilkinson sits on one of the party's safest seats. If the BCL goes down to defeat, Wilkinson could emerge as the new leader of the party, representing the more pro-business establishment wing.
17 03 09 South Islander
The BCL could run a mailbox here and win handily. Their candidate just happens to be a doctor, lawyer, Rhodes Scholar, incumbent MLA and cabinet minister.
17 01 07 Brian J
This is the wealthiest riding in BC statistically. Palatial homes, mansions owned by absent Asian billionaires and private schools. I'd like to believe there's an NDP candidate out there that could win this riding, but I can't think of one off-hand. BC Liberal hold.
17 01 05 JC
Safest seat for the Liberals in the province. They could run the devil here and he'd win.

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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017
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