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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017

Victoria-Beacon Hill


Prediction Changed
2017-01-14 13:59:44
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Harris, Kalen

James, Carole

Incumbent:
Victoria-Beacon Hill
Carole James

Reference:
Population (2014):54707
Deviation from average:3.00%
Geographical Area:90 sq km
2013 Election Result
Victoria-Beacon Hill
Carole James*
1269748.82%
Jane Sterk
879633.82%
Karen Bill
438616.86%
John Shaw
1310.50%
Previous Prediction - 2013 Provincial Election
Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election


 

17 03 07 South Islander
184.71.12.34
This is my current riding. The Greens have surged province-wide. Their strength is concentrated on the South Island where the NDP have a lot of seats to defend. Carole James is certainly a well-known MLA, but she has been held this seat for 12 years now with little to show for it. If it seems clear that the BC Liberals will win the general election handily, voters here may decide to give a new progressive MLA a chance. And given that the NDP are polling lower than their disappointing 2013 result, I think they will be in trouble by the end of a campaign.
17 01 16 political animal
199.60.104.18
Carol James does not just have high profile as former party leader but was chair of the school board in the 00s and foster mom she is in traditional NDP territory and knows how to campaign easy hold for NDP
17 01 16 political animal
199.60.104.18
Carol James does not just have high profile
s former partyy leader but was chair of the school
board in the 00s and foster mom
she is in trdiitional NDP territory and knows how
to campaig eassy hold orr NDP
17 01 11 Pundit79
50.64.158.173
Carole James will win this riding for the BCNDP for a 4th consecutive time.



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