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United Kingdom General Election - 2017

St Ives


Prediction Changed
2017-06-04 22:52:40
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Drew, Christopher

George, Andrew

Thomas, Derek

Incumbent:
Derek Thomas

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
45.23 % vs. 54.77 % (Est.)

2015 Election Result
Thomas, Derek
1849138.3%
George, Andrew*
1602233.2%
Calderwood, Graham
572011.8%
Olivier, Cornelius
45109.3%
Andrewes, Tim
30516.3%
Simmons, Rob
5181.1%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
George, A.H.*
1961942.7%
Thomas, D.G.
1790039.0%
Latimer, P.J. Ms.
37518.2%
Faulkner, M.P.
25605.6%
Andrewes, T.H.
13082.8%
Rogers, J.C.
396 .9%
Reed, S.J.
387 .8%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
5409
12500
21701
Other3682


 

06/06/2017 Eric Bucholz
66.190.176.182
I am going to give the Conservatives here a slight edge on hold ... if you look at the LDs nationally there vote doesn't look dramatically lower than 2015 ... some polls in Wales and Scotland show a discernable, if not dramatic, fall in the LD vote ... probably not enough of a decline, though, for a Cornwall breakthrough.
05/05/2017 JC
162.23.111.62
In the Cornwall Council election, LibDems held on to their seats and vote share. This bolds well for them in their bid to regain formerly held seats.
30/04/2017 Teddy Boragina
75.119.244.241
I can't help but laugh at those who think a national poll can so simply tell you what happens in Lands End. There is simply no way (whatsoever) the Tories can retain this seat against the LibDems.
29/04/2017 EPP
99.230.50.38
Lib Dem came in a reasonably close second in 2015. I think Lib Dem can capture this constituency by winning over the disillusion Labour voters, especially the pro-Euro ones.
27/04/2017 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
5 percent Conservative victory here last time. They'll hold it with no trouble thanks to better polling numbers.



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