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United Kingdom General Election - 2017

Lewes


Prediction Changed
2017-04-29 10:16:36
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Blundell, Kelly-Marie

Caulfield, Maria

Chapman, Daniel

Incumbent:
Maria Caulfield

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
52.86 % vs. 47.14 % (Est.)

2015 Election Result
Caulfield, Maria
1920638.0%
Baker, Norman*
1812335.9%
Finch, Ray
542710.7%
Russell-Moyle, Lloyd
50009.9%
Stirling, Alfie
27845.5%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
Baker, N.J.*
2604852.0%
Sugarman, J.A.
1840136.7%
Koundarjian, H.
25085.0%
Charlton, P.A.
17283.4%
Murray, S.J. Ms.
7291.5%
Lloyd, D.R.
5941.2%
Soucek, O.
80 .2%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
4181
15894
24241
Other2098


 

08/05/2017 Expat
192.133.45.2
This is a Remain constituency. Greens are standing down to make it easier for the Lib Dem candidate to win.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/may/08/vince-cable-alliances-liberal-democrat-mp-labour
30/04/2017 Teddy Boragina
75.119.244.241
With the LibDems up across the entirety of the South (according to every single poll I've looked at) applying a simple nation-wide swing is short-sighted. This seat should go LD
29/04/2017 EPP
99.230.50.38
Lib Dem came in a very close second in 2015, and the constituency voted to Remain. I think Lib Dem can capture this constituency by winning over the disillusion Labour voters, especially the pro-Euro ones.
27/04/2017 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
2.1 percent Tory win here the last time. The tories will hold this with their current polling numbers.



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