Election Prediction Project
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United Kingdom General Election - 2017

Isle of Wight


Prediction Changed
2017-04-29 10:13:15
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Belfitt, Nick

Critchley, Julian

Jones-Evans, Julie

Lowthion, Vix

Pitcher, Daryll

Seely, Bob

Incumbent:
Andrew Turner

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
38.05 % vs. 61.95 % (Est.)

2015 Election Result
Turner, Andrew*
2859140.7%
McKie, Iain
1488821.2%
Lowthion, Vix
940413.4%
Blackmore, Stewart
898412.8%
Goodall, David
52357.5%
Stephens, Ian
31984.6%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
Turner, A.J.*
3281046.7%
Wareham, J.L. Ms.
2228331.7%
Chiverton, M.H.
816911.6%
Tarrant, M.N.A.
24353.5%
Clynch, G.
14572.1%
Dunsire, I.M.
12331.8%
Keats, R.J.
9311.3%
Martin, P.S.
616 .9%
Harris, P.J.
175 .2%
Randle-Jolliffe, P.D.
89 .1%
Corby, E.D.P.
66 .1%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
11483
32717
19737
Other2904


 

02/05/2017 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
Even with Andrew Turner not running again, this is a seat where UKIP was running second after the Tories, this seat has elected some Lib Dems and their predecessors the Liberals, but barring an unexpected turn I have to think the Tories hold this.
01/05/2017 The Guardian
199.16.153.226
Labour figures call for candidates to step aside for Greens in two seats
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/apr/30/labour-figures-call-for-candidates-to-step-aside-for-greens-in-two-seats
01/05/2017 The Guardian
199.16.153.226
Tory MP drops out of election after telling pupils 'homosexuality is wrong'
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/apr/28/tory-mp-steps-down-after-telling-pupils-homosexuality-is-wrong
27/04/2017 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
19 percent tory win here last time. Easily held, especially since the UKIP vote will likely go to the tories.



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United Kingdom General Election - 2017
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